среда, 16 мая 2012 г.

"Rozetka" will sue Tax



Managing LTD. Rozetka.ua (Kiev) in a judicial order contests laying of tax militia to avoiding payment of taxes to the amount of more than 7 million hryvnyas. About it the head of Government tax service (GNS) of Ukraine Alexander Klimenko reported at the conference of news on Wednesday.

"We do not have negotiations. Control-verification works which tax risks were worked during were conducted. Position of GNS is expressly expounded in certificates which are given guidance of enterprise. Position there clear enough and clear. An enterprise has possibility which it on your own determines. It to consent and pay a donachislennuyu sum in a budget or contest this sum. No negotiations out of algorithm which I said about, to be not mozhet", - he said.


The Russian airline of Yamal Airlines opened aviareys Lvov-Moscow



on April, 30, 2012 the new Russian airferryman of «Yamal» (Yamal Airlines) began implementation of trips after direction Lvov-Moscow. Trips will be carried out 5 times per a week on a modern airplane as Crj-2. A ferryman utillizes the ship of Crj-2 – it the passenger regional airplane of the Canadian production is counted on 50 passengers and two members of crew. An airline of “Yamal” (Yamal Airlines) is the Russian airline, located in the cities of Salekhard, Tyumen' and Moscow (Domodedovo). An airline is founded in 1997 year, engaged in regional regular passenger transportations in difficult of access territories, by transportations of watch groups and charter flights inwardly and outside a country.



The square meter of area of movie theater is appraised less than in 178 Uah

Starting price for an object by an area almost 900 m apt. makes 160 thousands of Uah Thus, the square meter of area of city movie theater is appraised less than in 178 Uah On the terms of auctions, in them can take part physical and legal persons. A physical person, persons interested to be registered as a participant of competition, is under an obligation to have at itself a certificate of organ of government tax service about the given declaration about the property state and profits. An applicant must bring in 10% payment for participation. A competition will pass on May, 28, 2012, in 11.00 in the apartment of Bolgradskoy of raygosadministracii.

понедельник, 14 мая 2012 г.

Selling real estate again fell in Cyprus



In techenye ïîñëåäíèé 22 months the number sdelok with housing in Cyprus snyzhaetsya. Specialists do not vydyat significant Restore in the near future and predskazыvayut dalneyshee uhudshenye situation.

Nevzyraya to it that the znachytelno podeshevela Cyprus real estate, As the year 2007 with www.thaimir.ru respectively poteryaly in price of apartments and houses in average 20% and 11%, but buyers are less stanovytsya. According to experts, rolled reins for the decline of demand for real estate Cyprus can be otnesty uzhestochenye credit covered policy banks, povыshayuschayasya bezrabotytsa, as well as Universal neotchetlyvost potentsyalnыh buyers comparative tempo of development of economy of the island, said BestNews.

461 contract for the purchase of real estate was a zarehystryrovan in April 2012 year in the Land Reestre Cyprus. During the same time, but hodom earlier, s That was 542. Almost 15% Thus, amounted padenye sale. Otnosytelno boom in 2007, nablyudavshehosya to market real estate Cyprus, the Bolsheviks, something fell to 70% of demand for housing mestnoe.

Government Island Situated k mestnыm assistance to banks, who perezhyvayut not ñàìûé Good time. Nevertheless, such occasions Actions could neperenosymuyu stress on state-owned Resources, so the properties will be vыnuzhdenы adresovatsya loan fund k EUROPEAN fynansovoy stabylnosty (EFFS).

In Kiev dorozhaet rent apartment

C 7 to 14 May Average price arendы odnokomnatnыh apartments Kiev povыsylys by 0.19% or 1 dollar to 521 dollar / month

This was svydetelstvuyut DATA portal mirkvartir.ua.

According to these data, with 7 to 14 May Average price arendы dvuhkomnatnыh apartments povыsylas at 2.51%, or 19 dollars to 776 dollars / month, trehkomnatnыh - by 0.75% or $ 9 for a $ 1,209 / month.

The minimum cost arendы been Recorded in Desnyanskom area - 375 dollars / month for odnokomnatnыh apartments, $ 500 / month for dvuhkomnatnыh apartments and 625 dollars / month for trehkomnatnыh.

Maximum cost arendы otmechena in Pechersk area - 750 dollars / month for odnokomnatnыh apartments, a $ 1,100 / month for dvuhkomnatnыh apartments and a $ 2,000 / month for trehkomnatnыh.

As soobschalo agency, with 30 April to 7 May Average price arendы odnokomnatnыh Kiev apartments have gone down to 1.70%, or $ 9 to 520 dollars / month.

Deshevaya ypoteka in Ukraine: who will, interest payments are ezhemesyachnыy



Government has done to begin the realization of k prezydentskoy sotsynytsyatyvы "Deshevaya ypoteka," said Minister rehyonstroya and utilities Anatoly Bliznyuk. According to him, will issue loans under deshevыe purchase housing (Part percent of his pay The State) will be possible to immediately Quantity second half of May (terms smotryte in the schedule). This year the treasury Enough money, help the prymerno When 30 thousand wanting (apartment queue - 1.2 million families) in that the allocated 1 billion USD. As explained in the press service of the Ministry, Cabinet These proposals took as a basis, but Possible changes.

"Net these apartments." Experts "Today" They say: mnohoe from the predlozhennoho Mynrehyonstroem worth pomenyat. "Now ypoteku kredytuyut under 20-22% cheaper no turns, Ved svobodny money market mezhbankovskom to give under 18% - said Financial analyst Igor Shevchenko. - It is unclear from where vzyatы 3% per annum for zaemschyka. Even under this 8-10% ypoteku otorvut s hands. " Builders They say something at a price, the proposed Cabinet, they have no housing (5000-7000 USD per sq. m.), As a no and apartments Such a malenkoy Square in unfinished (kotorыe want the properties to bring to mind under эtu program): 1-room - mynymum 50 square meters. m, 2-room - that's 80. "In Kiev Gilles business-class (plus monolytnыy concrete brick) worth 12-13 thousand. USD per sq. m. m эkonomklass (betonnoe on the outskirts) - 9,5-9,6 thousand. ", - told the us specialist Metropolitan Company" Myskzhytlobud "Galina Bohdanenko.

To dostanetsya "dostupnaya ypoteka" from Yanukovych


Judging by the terms of opublykovannыm, the Government hopes one program "kill" immediately Trejo Zaitsev: umenshyt kvartyrnuyu queue, complete dolhostroy Housing and solve the issue investors, vlozhyvshyh money in zamorozhennыe BAU, writes UNIAN

The program is designed for people nahodyaschyhsya to record the flat, and apartments will be in the facility pryobretatsya incomplete construction. Bank: will be predostavlyatsya to 15 years in UAH under the maximum 16% per annum. In so doing zaemschyk pays the loan 3% and 13% Difference in emu kompensyruet state.

Yspolnytel program - Ministry rehyonalnoho development, construction and housing and communal services - expects this year vыdat 30 thousand. credit, housing 2.6% obespechyv ocherednykov (Total in Ukraine on kvartyrnoy queue worth 1.138 million Man).

Vprochem, in the near rassmotrenyy proved that discharge from the program okazalas "not of all" and dostupytsya will be able to nee not all zhelayuschye - as ynvestorы, and so zastroyschyky, and banks. Participants market not vыskazaly person Delight in wake neslыhanno nyzkoy lending rates, reasonably noting that the only money Enough At this hour, and no continuation funding deshevaya ypoteka soydet "for no." Zastroyschyky believe the that the program will nevыhodna chastnыm company, and state-owned Rather zaynteresuet lybo kommunalnыe company. At the same time bankyrы want the guarantees and compensation for predostavlenyya They say that the pouchastvovat in the program will be interesting to lybo hosbankam, lybo banks, who zahotyat yzbavytsya from dolhostroev already nahodyaschyhsya in s portfolios.

"Kyevhorstroy" wants to participate

Yshodya uslovyy from the program, predlahaemaya cost housing to purchase a little Do not Ravn sebestoymosty construction, especially in the capital. Therefore zastroyschykam, who was awaiting "repelled" suffered in proshlыe Years zatratы on sverhprybыly rasschytыvat not pryhodytsya. Obviously, something to participate in the program will be able zastroyschyky keeper-housing, and preymuschestvenno in the regions than in Kiev, where korruptsyonnaya sostavlyayuschaya cost apartments in traditionally Peak. In the program zastroyschyky dolzhnы sell housing to 7 thousand. USD. / sq in Kiev, and ego rыnochnaya price on the outskirts of the capital the average sostavlyaet nine thousand. USD. / sq.

How much should I ukrayntsu stores up to the apartment

In the views developerskoy projects director of the company "NEST" Vitali Hrusevycha, Programs Rather zaynteresuet state-owned or kommunalnыe stroytelnыe company. A Private Company, perhaps, zahotyat sell apartments in the houses of Primary stadyy construction. He believes that in the regions, not cities of Chill-myllyonnykov, эta program more than realystychna, poskolku zatratы the construction there znachytelno below.

"If proanalyzyrovat Kiev Marketplace, you now even kommunalnыe enterprise prodayut else unfinished housing on the outskirts of Kiev at a price higher than 7 thousand. USD. Therefore chastnыm company-zastroyschykam topics will be more than nevыhodno sell apartments on such price. If Getting srednyuyu sebestoymost construction per square meter keeper-housing, which will be in Kiev sostavlyaet order of 5.6 thousand. USD, the cost arendы land plus construction and Connect kommunykatsyy, taxes, etc., definitely more than the sum poluchytsya seven thousand. hr / sq. m "- said Mr. Hrusevych.

Together with topics president holdynhovoy Company "Kyevhorstroy" Igor Kushnir believes that the program will vostrebovana zastroyschykamy and announced plans on holding to participate in the neutron with a dozen facilities in Kiev and neskolku - in the region.

"The cost per square meter in the program indeed Technology and k sebestoymosty construction, but how uchtenы interests of Ukrainian citizens, as and construction companies. In the program propysanы dopolnytelnыe terms "for settlements, raspolozhennыh in 15-kylometrovoy zone from Kiev, Sevastopol, Simferopol and of regional centers, the cost of housing raschetnaya Maybe uvelychena by 10%. Permitted excess normatyvnoy Square and raschetnoy cost of housing is not something more than 25%. " Therefore PAO HC "Kyevhorstroy" will rasschytыvat on nevыsokyy rate of return "- explained online.

The plans of the company - propose to the program in novostroykah apartments in Zhitomir and Sevastopol (the construction will go on year in 2012), in Lugansk and Yalta (obъektы nahodyatsya in 50% Class Noah readiness), as well as a number tselыy facilities in Kiev, clarified Mr. Mr. Kushnir.

President holding company added that for the first week of work program guidance "Kyevhorstroya" received the vicinity of ten proposals on cooperation in the framework of the program dannoy from banks 1 and 2 group, who opredelenы ruling as a potentsyalnыe program participants (total 36 banks).

Banks Needs Guarantee

Oproshennыe banks vыskazaly desire to participate in the program ypotechnoy (though in nekotorыh fynuchrezhdenyyah CEI issue only yzuchayut). Cause of this - LOW protsentnaya lending rate of 16% in average Effective rate near 20% and the absence of financing guarantees dolhosrochnoho deshevoy ypoteky.

"To date," Ukrsotsbank "not ymeet possibility vыdavat mortgages under 16% because of cost fondyrovanyya vыsokoy enough" - said the head of department of relations with estate agencies and zastroyschykamy PAO "Ukrsotsbank" Bogdan Haponyuk.

Impossible vыdavat loans under the Maximum 16% for 15 years, when the deposits in the market pryvlekayutsya under 18% maximum per year, he said.

"I'm not sure that the banks will BELIEVE IN TEARS word obeschanyyam government compensate bet on protyazhenyy definitely, enough term duty," - he added bankers.

Rent apartments kievsky podorozhaet at 7 every time Euro-2012

Haponyuk believes that this rate will be able to state-owned banks zaynteresovat, who ymeyut access rolled more than a cheap Monetary resource. In so doing, the issue remains under bolshym readiness hosbankov Working with zastroyschykamy on corporate lending.

Possible variants for banks - to participate in the program with konkretnыmy dolhostroyamy of specific zastroyschykov, kotorыh They kredytuyut.

"In most cases Such obъektы nahodyatsya already in arrears problemnoy portfolios in banks. And so when zayavlennoy support of the state bank would aid realize zastroyschyku zhylыe Square on profynansyrovannomu in duty, the facility and smog would again by CEI loan portfolio obsluzhyvaemыh, polahayas to it that the financing of dopolnytelnoe joined together under zastroyku, Construction company will be able to complete construction and repay the loan svoy obyazatelstva ", - considers the director of marketing department roznychnoho byznesa« VAB Bank »Igor Shumytskyy.

In addition to bank snyzhayutsya risk of collateral facility. At the expense of issuing mnohochyslennыh of retail credit fynuchrezhdenye gets more than the shansov to it that the napravlennыy to do this, lending facility resources partially or fully kompensyruet ubыtky bank, who on neset by the facility, he added.

Compensation per hour - Èãðà the "roulette" with the state?

By estimates of the market participants, Theoretically conditions for ocherednykov on the program ypotechnoy vыhlyadyat very pryvlekatelno.

"Ypotechnoe lending under 3% exceeds ñàìûé smelыe delay ocherednykov, Ved эta rate even lower than than in Europe, in all kotoruyu pryvыkly ravnyatsya. Vыhoda for consumers is obvious "- believes the president" Kyevhorstroya. "

Nevertheless, it should be nastradavshymsya investor novostroek nobility and at bar, Ved funds for compensation raznytsы Interest 30 thousand only zaemschykov Enough At this hour, stressed executive director of the National Ukrainian ypotechnoy Association (UNYA) Paul Matyyash.

"Dannaya program has not yet ymeet zaschyschennosty article as a budget. Probably, some kind of step from the Ministry dolzhen bыt - submit from Cabinet Ministers to the Verkhovna Rada the bill, who would zaschyschal эtu article on buduschye Years, how mynymum in the same volume obъeme. If everyone will h although in billion would then These 30 thousand. credit will be able to properly obsluzhyvatsya. If in the next year will not do this, billion, the banks in svoyh contract would propysыvat rыnochnuyu bid. If will not be compensation for, all zaemschyky vernutsya k a market rate as a mynymum, 16% "- he said.

In the views P.Matyyasha, if not will vыplatы government guarantees compensation for the entire term lending, participate in the program Commercial banks ostanetsya under question. "If not will be in 14 years sleduyuschye ydty compensation, people in bad prevratyatsya zaemschykov" - said the executive director UNYA.

Rent apartments in Kiev again podorozhala. Prices in areas

With him solydarnы and most bankyrы. If The State Guarantee predostavyt zayavlennыh compensation of demand co Sides population Maybe vpolne dostatochnыm with taking into account the sotsyalnoy napravlennosty project, considers the Director of Marketing roznychnoho byznesa «VAB Bank."

In doing so, I. Shumytskyy aktsentyroval attention to the volume that the banks-participants of the program will be vsyachesky svoy reinsure risks - above all from ottalkyvayas sobstvennыh of opportunities AVAILABILITY dolhosrochnoho resources, opportunities otvlechenyya ego, as well as at the expense zhestkoy assessment as a very zaemschyka and a market situation, and so at the expense of assessment attractiveness of the facility.

Topics more than that the Adoption solutions to issue ypoteky fully otdaetsya on otkup banks. "And with taking into account the fact that the compensation for protsentnoy rate The State will vыplachyvat lysh of $ SUM budget, under predusmotrennыh These vыplatы per hour, not in fact issuing credit, banks will be ostorozhnы with issuing such credit" - Added bankers.

Together with themes surprise experts vыzvala verhnyaya plate annually income family, which will be on lhotnuyu could pretendovat ypoteku, Ved with income of 400 thousand. UAH housing you can buy it would be svoymy forces. Such a razbros in income can lead to spekulyatsyyam with Gilles, believe the market participants.

Guarantee that the home will be zhylыe dostroenы within эtoy program also there. All upyraetsya in the organization process control by construction: if ego naladyat how you need, with the participation klyuchevыh fyhurantov program, completion of enough likelihood Peak.

Effect on the Marketplace - in the segment keeper

Ypotechnaya program sposobna at some least affect the tempы and Volume of construction lysh in housing segment keeper-class, cost and poskolku Area apartments dolzhnы consistent with oboznachennыm Criteria, said the representative of "Ukrsotsbank" Haponyuk.

She also never become an incentive for banks decline rates ypoteke, poskolku have to do more than hlobalnыe Needs reform, who yzmenyat rыnochnыe terms and the rules of legislation, as well as the availability of more than dolhosrochnoho and cheap resources bankovskoy system Added Y.Shumytskyy.

Together with subjects representative of the company "NEST" Hrusevych napomynaet that in a short of time will be held in Ukraine election of, and vыskazыvayut predpolozhenye that the эta program, perhaps, is the lysh kratkosrochnoy predvыbornoy ynytsyatyvoy.

It is obvious that the vыdelennoho billion Enough of that, When obespechyt small Anatoliy stoyaschyh on kvartuchete. In the views Matyyasha P., bolsheho the effect it would be possible dostych, sent money for the construction of socio housing with allocation of land and podvodom ynzhenernыh kommunykatsyy. Then it would be possible in a resolution dostych predlahaemыh stoymostnыh indicators for zastroyschykov.

Ñàìûé Interesting Declaration on income of Ukrainian politicians

Pohozhuyu Thought vыskazal and V.Hrusevych, who believes that it would be more than tselesoobrazno send dannuyu amount to develop a program and sale of affordable housing: to develop a henplanov zastroyky territory, introduction of modern technologies myrovыh DSC, construction ynzhenernыh kommunykatsyy.

Director of projects the company "NEST" believes that in the preparation Contest Correct documentation for Integrated zastroyke territory business will be ready to propose affordable housing program with tsenoy 5,5-6 thousand. USD. in Kiev and up to 5 thousand. UAH in the region.

"The realization of a national program upomyanutoy ymela would multyplykatsyonnыy Effect and allowed the problem would solve zhylyschnuyu in Ukraine for 10-15 years" - rezyumyroval online.

Terms of program

Bank: will be predostavlyatsya to 15 years in UAH under the maximum 16% per annum. In so doing zaemschyk pays the loan 3% and 13% Difference in emu kompensyruet state. Compensation are subject to in fact uplachennыe protsentы by polzovanye credit. Pervychnыy contribution for the purchase of housing - up to 25% with the possibility of an increase ego.

Normatyvnaya Area housing for a family of one or two Man - 40 m, from the Trejo and more than Man - 58 m at raschetnoy cost per square meter for Kiev - 7 thousand. USD, for the Kiev region and of regional centers - five thousand. USD, to the other settlements - 4 thousand. USD. In Area super compensation not nachyslyaetsya the rules, pay a zaemschyk sverhnormatyvku by svoy funds. Together with topics for settlements, raspolozhennыh in 15-kylometrovoy zone from Kiev, Sevastopol, Simferopol and the cost of regional centers housing Maybe uvelychena by 10%. Also permitted excess normatyvnoy Square and raschetnoy cost of housing by 25%.

Average customer hodovoy minimal income family of Trejo Man in Ukraine dolzhen bыt not lower than 55 thousand. USD, and the average Maximum income - 400 thousand. USD (from 760 thousand. in Kiev UAH to 355 thousand. UAH in Ternopil region). In so doing ezhemesyachnыy loan payments not dolzhen prevыshat 40% cumulative srednemesyachnoho income family. Srednemesyachnыy denezhnыy income zaemschyka not dolzhen prevыshat pyatykratnoho size srednemesyachnoy zarabotnoy platы of relevant in the region.

In the period of obtaining compensation for chastychnoy flat dolzhna bыt mainly place of residence zaemschyka, he could not sdavat EE for rent.

Procedure: When pouchastvovat in the program, you need obratytsya one from the 36 banks (the first and second group of the National Bank definition). Bank rassmatryvaet possibility of issuing credits and, along with oblhosadmynystratsyy otrabatыvaet opportunity of obtaining compensation for citizen chastychnoy on this loan. Then the program participant vыbyraet konkretnuyu apartment in a particular house (otobrannom Interministerial Commission on proposals for Mynrehyone mestnыh hosadmynystratsyy) and podpysыvaet two contracts: one for the purchase of apartments (program participant, bank, zastroyschyk), second - in compensation for vыplatu (program participant, bank, mestnaya State Administration).

Among the conditions for zaemschyka - bail everybody deesposobnoho member of the family, prozhyvayuscheho together with him, as well as ezhehodnoe deklaryrovanye svoyh revenues (revenues and family).

Euro neznachytelno podesheveet - Weather



A pair of euro / dollar ymeet all shansы continue nyshodyaschee movement. Such ìíåíèå vыskazыvayut company analysts Forex Club in Ukraine. Nevertheless, on post index DATA delovoho optimism in Hermanyy from the center of the economic performance of research ZEW, namechennыe rolled publication May 15, Submissions may be occasions evrovalyute support. He that all, in the near future on the euro market will myrovыh worth about $ 1.29.

Average customer selling rate nalychnoho euros in Ukraine in this case, will be in the boundaries 10,31-10,67 UAH.

The cost of hryvnы relations k U.S. dollar of Current week, according to analysts estimates Forex Club, ostanetsya stabylnoy against the backdrop of sustainable exports, Steadily tributary valyutы chastnыh in the form of transfers, as well as imports sokraschenyya эnerhonosyteley. Average customer selling rate nalychnoho dollar, veroyatno, will be in range of the 8,04-8,048 USD.

British pound prodolzhyt save korrelyatsyyu with euros, but the movement will be down is Gorazd me yntensyvnыy character. Central England May 16 to submit a regular kvartalnыy otchet on inflation and ego head Mervyn King will hold a press conference. This is Sobytie znachytelno could affect the position of the sterlynha, but to do this, will chuvstvovat themselves very confidently.

Petrol cheaper from May 15 to 10 kopecks.



At a meeting of the expert-analytical group (EAG) on the operation of the oil market, oil and refining industry under the Cabinet of Ministers of Ukraine has decided to gradually reduce retail prices for all types of gasoline by 5 cop. / L on May 12, and another 5 copies . / l from May 15, the press service Minenerhovuhillya.

According to the report, a decision was taken at a meeting of the group on May 11.

The meeting was considered the price situation on the oil market, its resource content and the influence on his world trends.

The participants noted the decline in oil prices on world markets, as well as sufficient oil reserves to ensure stability in the domestic market.

It was also noted that under the previous recommendations of the expert-analytical group of market participants have lowered the price of diesel by 10 cop. / Liter.

As UNIAN reported earlier, May 10, several major network stations have lowered the price of diesel by 9 cop. / L - up to 10.35 USD / liter.

Recall that the price of Ukrainian filling stations increased from the second half of February. However, since the end of April prices have stabilized and there has been a downward trend.

According to the Monitoring Consulting Group "A-95", from 4 to 11 May 2012 Ukraine's average retail prices of petroleum products have changed as follows: gasoline A-80 - decreased by 0.1% - from 10.38 USD / l to 10.37 USD / l for petrol A-92 - remained at 10.89 hr / l for petrol A-95 - remained at 11.32 hr / l for diesel fuel - fell by 0.4 % - from 10.30 USD / l to 10.26 USD / liter.

Forecasts of economic development of Ukraine - a sadder more



International organizations continue to worsen prognosis prospects of Ukrainian economy. Following the IMF is less optimistic assessment Exploded international rating agency Fitch. Analysts say the agency, Ukraine's real GDP in 2012 will be only 1.6%

In mid-April, the IMF again lowered the growth forecast for gross domestic product of Ukraine - this time from 4.8% to 3% in 2012 a month is even more pessimistic assessment gives agency Fitch - by his calculations, Ukraine's GDP will grow by only 1 6%. "Future growth prospects are limited expected downturn in the economy" - agency reported on Friday. In 2013, however, Fitch expects more dynamic growth - by 4.2%.

As Ukrainian experts believe, worsening forecasts for the Ukrainian economy is quite natural. "Deteriorating weather agency Fitch reflects current trends in the domestic economy: Real GDP growth in the I quarter slowed to 1.8% g / g (from 4.7% in the IV quarter of 2011) against the backdrop of worsening external conditions" - said the chief economist of the investment firm Dragon Capital Elena Belana.

Agrees with this and Concorde Capital analyst Linda Vitali Vavryshchuk. "I think the main reason for revision was the publication of data for the first quarter of 2012 - they were much lower than the expectations of government and market participants" - he says. In particular, the review could be due to the latest data on industrial production. Key export-oriented sectors (metallurgy, mechanical engineering) showed a drop in output in March.

According to Elena Belan in general economic activity in the first quarter, supported by industry, focused on domestic demand. These are very high rates of retail turnover, which, given the election "charity" must be supported in the near future. Recently approved the budget increase in social spending will be a significant driver of consumer demand.

Nevertheless, domestic demand is still not enough to keep the pace of economic growth, more export-oriented (In 2011, recall, Ukraine's real GDP was 5.2%).

"Our latest forecast for GDP growth in Ukraine was at 3%, but we intend to see it, though, perhaps, the correction is not as pessimistic as in Fitch», - says the analyst of the International Centre for Policy Studies (ICPS) Alexander Zholud .
According to Mr. Vavryshchuk, 1.6% from Fitch - likely scenario. Anyway, Ukrainian analysts forecasts close to that assessment. "We forecast GDP growth this year at 2.2%, but decrease the probability of this forecast increase," - said Elena Belan.

Moreover, she adds, without improvement in external demand Ukrainian economy will be very difficult to compensate for the likely deterioration of the results of the agricultural sector (compared to last year yield).

Apparently, it's time to do revision and came to the Cabinet. Recall that the government first came to this year with two forecasts - GDP growth at 3.9% (pessimistic) and 5% (optimistic). Given the observed deterioration in business environment and political repression that stirred the European Union, can be expected unless economic sanctions against Ukraine, but not the growth of business activity and investment in the country. In the Fitch restore growth to 4.2% expected only in 2013

The dollar could collapse to 6-7 USD

Elections approaching and the Euro-2012 can significantly reduce the cost of strengthening the hryvnia and dollar and euro.


First time in a long time the National Bank constantly replenishes its currency reserves, write "Izvestiya in Ukraine."

Gold and currency reserves of the National Bank of Ukraine in April increased by $ 600 million and reached almost $ 32 billion while Bank sold less currency and more buy - in April he joined the reserves by $ 304 million special attention to Bank of pay that that Ukrainian stopped buying dollars in anticipation of an imminent devaluation of the hryvnia. Net purchases of dollars was only $ 209 million - the lowest in the last two years. Peak currency fell excitement in September last year. Then people just for one month bought more than $ 2 billion, and total for 2011 with the financial system migrated under mattresses Ukrainian nearly $ 13.4 billion Economic experts seriously recognize that buying a currency people could not only destroy the reserves, but and undermine the stability of the currency.

Director of Economic Analysis and Forecasting Bank of Alexander Patrick believes that the shortage of currency, we will: "In particular, oil prices have fallen compared with peaks in March to 7.5%. At the same time steel prices (remember, this is one of the key exports of the country) moderate increase, and this growth since the beginning of the year was 5.4%. "Economic growth in the euro area and Russia, according to Patrick, will not only help to increase exports, but also the flow of currency.

In addition, experts advise not to forget more about two important factors. First, the upcoming parliamentary elections. In the propaganda campaign of the party and candidates, majority electees back into the country from abroad, according to conservative estimates, $ 1,8-2,5 billion Secondly, it is expected a significant flow of tourists at the time of Championship football. According to various estimates, the country will come about half a billion dollars.

Lanovyi, former economy minister, the president of the Center for Market Reform believes that a shaft of foreign money may even lead to a decline in the dollar. "If a month will flow in, say, one billion dollars of foreign currency, which will bring tourists and the team, they will create oversupply in the domestic dollar market, and it will depreciate. The dollar can go up to the mark 6.7 UAH ", - predicts expert.

In turn, Oleg Ivanets, an analyst at investment company "Art Capital", believes that the currency market do not feel any radical warps and by the end, the situation may worsen. "The dollar stand at 8 USD - confident expert. - Despite a stable situation in real time, in the third and fourth quarters, we expect a significant reduction of reserves, especially if Ukraine does not restore the program to support the IMF. In addition, the expected growth in imports by 3%, leading to a fall in reserves to the critical point (three months of import financing) in the fourth quarter of this year. " Thus, the deficit currencies could again create risks for the stability of the hryvnia.

Such expectation is confirmed by experts in the National Bank. In a research note on the status of reserves and their growth forecasts admit that next year their volume may be reduced to a half months of import financing - is not feeding the International Monetary Fund. If the money will fund, the state reserves will be less dire, and they remain approximately at current levels, which will continue to maintain a stable national currency.